The added arm speed also improved both breaking balls, and the changeup is a plus to plus-plus weapon. The sales pitch is easy here: big league bloodlines (Matt is his father), with a chance for plus hit and power from the left side, and enough tools to stick at shortstop long-term. 42 overall pick, mainly because of questions about his ability to make contact and stick at shortstop long term. Henderson hit his 90th-percentile projection, crushing Double-A then crushing Triple-A then crushing the big leagues -- all at age 21. Type: On the right day, four plus pitches and starter command. The questions back then were his hit tool and pitch selection, because there was literally no data to consider against top pitching. Bleis is still 18 years old for another month and has been drawing buzz for his past two summers, in the Dominican Summer League in 2021 and the domestic complex league in 2022. The flat fastball and uphill swing don't intersect for long, which means less contact. The reason he's still ranked this high is that he's big league ready and his floor seems like a .250 hitter with average on-base and power (15-20 homers) and solid second base defense. It's hard to put Chourio ahead of similarly talented prospects who are big league-ready with long track records of performance. He can do almost anything at the plate. Early in 2022, he was sitting 95-99 and hitting 100 mph, throwing mostly just his heater and his slider (take a look), but it's not like he forgot how to throw his curveball and changeup -- he was just running a 34% whiff rate throwing those two pitches 94% of the time. We've all been burned dreaming on a fireballing young prospect, but Espino is so fun to watch that he makes me want to believe he's one that will click. You can expect a .260ish average with a plus walk rate (call it a .350 on-base percentage), plus power (let's say 25 homers -- but I bet he cracks 30 at least once) and above-average defense at third base, good enough to fill in at shortstop if needed. He has hit .271/.363/.491 with 40 homers and an 11% walk rate, 24% strikeout rate in 926 professional plate appearances, while being young for every level and playing in the infield. Following the graduation of Yankees infielder Oswald Peraza, Mets 2022 first-round draft pick Jett Williams became the latest addition to MLB's Top 100 prospect On last year's list, I ranked Perez 55th and said he "has the most attractive rsum an 18-year-old pitcher can have" while explaining that a young, hard-throwing, super tall right-hander with changeup ahead of breaking ball isn't a type I like to bet on, and it also seems impossible that a kid this young and tall can keep throwing strikes like this. A handful of teams ran him up their boards after seeing him before the shutdown because the projection was so enticing. Ji-Hwan Bae, 2B, Pittsburgh Pirates Type: Hit-over-power, well-rounded catcher. Garcia made his Double-A debut last season and ended the season in the big leagues but even after the Adalberto Mondesi trade, he's still behind Bobby Witt Jr., Hunter Dozier, Nicky Lopez and Michael Massey as homegrown second base/third base/shortstop options. The D-backs took him in the fifth round of the pandemic-affected 2020 draft, and he showed that he was bound for a big league rotation. Type: One of the best amateur hitters in recent memory, with Jose Ramirez or Rafael Devers vibes. I'll lean to the higher offensive potential in Mayo, who also happens to be in a better farm system for hitter development, though the White Sox are trending up with Colson Montgomery, Ramos, Oscar Colas and Lenyn Sosa having strong 2022 seasons. Type: Plus-Plus athlete with bloodlines and feel. So there's an argument that Carter is the best on-base-percentage threat among the top prospects in baseball, and he's a good defensive center fielder on top of that. Montgomery needs to have plus bat speed and plus pitch recognition to make longer levers work and to give his hands time to get in place. to Washington. He held serve all the way to draft day in 2021 as a toss-up with Jordan Lawlar for best prospect in the draft. LIke the Braves just did on the NL side, the O's have a shot to sweep the AL ROY voting with Henderson and Rodriguez finishing 1-2. The primary concern at draft time was that Walker would immediately slide over to third base in pro ball and eventually have to move to first base. Do we just comp them to a different player who would post a similar statline? The Dodgers are hoping Vargas can be an average defender at third base, but he's a bit below that there and at second base. He was nearly the full package as a shortstop, with only power missing, and also a second-or-third round talent as a pitcher, with easy mid-90s heat, but he simply wasn't interested in pursuing pitching as a pro. I ultimately ranked him third, but it was essentially a three-way coin flip with Druw Jones and Termarr Johnson, who are all still tightly packed. Red Sox fans have seen two homegrown stars leave in recent years, but that won't happen a third time. Harrison, an interesting low-slot lefty starter, had a good summer showcase season and a solid spring out of a NorCal high school, but he was still working mostly 89-92 with stuff that flashed above average to plus at times. WebStatcast Leaders Baseball Savant Top Prospect Stats. I graded him as a second-rounder that spring -- he was sitting 90-92 with 55-grade stuff -- and was when he lasted until the 91st pick. His slider and changeup are both above-average-to-plus and his curveball plays around average but brings a nice additional look to the table. He might not be able to do all three of those, but even just two of the three means he ends up like Bichette, Adames, or Bogaerts, who last year put up 4.5, 4.7, and 6.1 WAR, respectively. Merrill is probably the best recent example of why teams should consider taking a chance on a spring pop-up player with almost no history. Valera has plus raw power and a very good approach: That's the stuff that matters. Now you can see where the dart throwing comes in. 13 overall in last summer's draft. First, "type," which categorizes a player for comparison among other players. Salas' younger brother Ethan was the top prospect in the recent international signing period, going to the Padres for the biggest bonus in the class; he's ranked about 40 spots behind Jose right now, but that may not be the case for long. Play Ball Youth Baseball & Softball. Johnson is a squatty, second-base-only fit with average speed and arm strength, but that's not why he was the fourth overall pick. Type: Power fastball/slider with above-average command. The Cards now have a glut of young position players at-or-near the big leagues that need to sort themselves out, but Winn figures to get a crack at the shortstop job, probably in 2024. This is a somewhat familiar song to prospect watchers; Nate Pearson was sort of like this a few years ago, Forrest Whitley before him, and so on. Like Peraza, Casas is likely to break camp with the big league team after a successful 2022 audition: I'd expect 20 homers and a strong on-base percentage in 2023. But you have to nitpick at this point of the list. How bright is your team's future? Frelick has plus-plus contact skills and above-average pitch selection along with plus speed and an intense mentality. He eventually needed pre-draft Tommy John surgery and slid from a lock to go in the top five to 10 picks to being taken No. Dave & Adams Card World has announced a bounty on the autographed 1/1 SuperFractor in 2023 Bowman. As it stands, they traded one and kept one, and Merrill has the look of a future star. Lewis isn't a slam dunk at the plate, either, as he has long had issues tinkering with his swing and dialing in his approach, but he is so naturally talented -- plus raw power, plus speed, feel for the game -- that he'll likely figure it out once he gets back onto the field. Per usual, though, there are still plenty of compelling prospects on the board. Collier, son of big leaguer Lou, reclassified into the 2022 class by enrolling at Chipola junior college and had a pretty remarkable spring for a 17-year-old facing largely 20- to-22-year-old pitchers: .333/.419/.537 with 8 homers, 12 doubles, 25 walks and 33 strikeouts. Like many pitchers in this range, his stuff and/or performance jumped in 2022 and at least some of this group will give back some of those gains because pitchers are susceptible to injuries and mysterious loss of arm speed or command. The Padres literally made the two best picks they could -- they wouldn't change it if they re-did the draft again today. He is likely an offensive-oriented backup who can DH, play first base or offer depth at third until his defense gets to the level of a nailed-down starter. 2023 ESPN 100 Watchlist How he hits at higher levels this year will give us an idea of what sort of hitter he'll be against regularly 95 mph-plus velocity, but he has the tools to be an above-average hitter with above-average pitch selection and 30-plus homers. Rodriguez was bitten by the aforementioned Best Pitching Prospect in Baseball snake last season, when he was limited to just 75 innings because of a right lat strain after earning the title on my preseason list. Davis missed about half of the 2022 season with a broken wrist and later some lingering soreness, so we can't fully judge him on his 2022 surface stats, but he has been a bit below expectations thus far. Normally, if this type of prospect has two good pitches as a teenager that would be enough to rank among the best prospects in the game, with the main question if they can come up with a third, or have enough command to be a starter. Type: Glove-over-bat center fielder, but probably still a league-average hitter. I tend to round up on certain types (plus tools, plus makeup, middling stats) and round down on others (now velocity, teenaged right-handers). Lawlar has excellent feel for the game and has always hit well in games, along with being a plus-plus baserunner, while the defensive questions are mostly a matter of focus, so I have no doubt he'll round into a solid average defender. Here is who all 30 teams are most likely to trade in 2023. Arroyo and Williams are back-to-back here because they're pretty similar prospects. He has played only 62 pro games in the U.S., most of those in Rookie ball, but all the signs are here. The concern from scouts, some of whom thought Collier was a late-first-round talent because of this, is that he isn't that explosive, with below-average speed, just OK lateral mobility at third base, and solid-average raw power. Type: Late bloomer with above-average tools. De La Cruz has below-average pitch selection (a 35% chase rate in the minors last year while 33% is big league average, but that's against big league pitching) though young, superlative talents have proved this can improve a notch or two at the upper levels. Type: On-base machine with plus speed but limited power. ), switch-hitting shortstop with plus-plus speed, power, and arm strength! LHP: Brandon Barriera (TOR), Matthew Liberatore (STL), Kyle Muller (OAK), Jared Shuster (ATL), Carson Whisenhunt (SF), Brandon Williamson (CIN) C: Carroll is a plus defender in center field, he's a plus-plus runner (a top-of-the-scale 80-grade runner for some), and he's a baseball rat with instincts to match: 33/39 on stolen bases last season over three levels. I mentioned above in the Termarr Johnson blurb that he and Collier were the two prep hitters in the Atlanta area and recognized by scouts as early as their freshman years for having high first-round potential. 9. Last year was his breakout, as he made it to Double-A shortly after turning 20 years old and saw a spike in power production, a better contact rate and an above average walk rate. The idea that Perez could be big league ready with four plus pitches and plus command as he's turning 20 years old this season is completely absurd so I'm going to stop worrying and enjoy the ride. Over the past two seasons, Rocchio has hit 33 home runs and stolen 35 bases, showing his feel for the game by getting the most out of good-not-great raw tools. Lesko may not throw in a competitive game until this fall, but he is still one of the best prep pitching prospects in the past decade, with a real chance to turn into an ace. Type: Projection righty with frontline potential. Reminds me of: If you put at shrink ray on Bryce Harper, trading some power for a lot more speed. He was dealt to Baltimore last summer as the headliner in a package for closer Jorge Lopez. Type: Lanky right fielder who is above average at everything. He signed for a $2.7 million bonus that ranked third-highest in the 2018 class. Offensively, the question is how his approach and pitch selection will play in the big leagues. Jonathan Ornelas, SS, Texas Rangers Carroll has plus feel for getting the bat head on the ball but even better pitch selection. contact skills) is also the best among that group, and he has plus speed to help leg out some infield hits. The 2023 fantasy baseball season is here! Pretty soon they're all going to be on whatever has the cachet of a Sports Illustrated cover these days. Collier went to junior college and reclassified into the 2022 draft class, but Johnson won the draft head-to-head. He's probably not a star but he's going to be a useful big leaguer for a while, and maybe a really good one. Type: Simple, powerful righty swing but not sure about the rest. I would also submit that if they didn't pick either player, they would not have had enough prospects to swing the Juan Soto trade. In 2021 (and behind closed doors because of the canceled 2020 minor league season) he took a massive step forward, adding about 20 pounds of muscle and a new swing geared to that frame, hitting 27 homers in 109 games. Hit: 40/55, Game Power: 40/60, Raw Power: 55/60, Speed: 50/45, Fielding: 40/50, Throwing: 55/55. If he does, he'll hit 30 homers, give us fun bat flips and nobody will care much that he's just OK defensively. Those aren't major concerns right now, though, as he's got massive power in games, is young and talented enough to make adjustments, and is much younger than the pitchers he is facing. The upside here is 55 or 60 hit, 60 pitch selection, 55 or 60 power and a fine defensive catcher. WebHigh School Baseball Recruiting Database. Type: Probably a catcher, with 25-homer upside. His pitch selection is among the best in the minors -- let's call it plus-plus -- he has had all-field plus power and a swing geared to getting to it for years. Meyer should return this season and I'm still expecting him to be an impact starter with the backup plan of a standout closer. He's now a high-likelihood big league starter, with No. Stroud had a great pro day and it further solidified his case as one of the two best QBs in this draft class. Zavala ended the season with a broken hamate bone and was hanging around the 125-150 area of this list until the very end, basically at the top of the "if you have a good 2023 season, you're on next year's list" range. He is probably not a star, but he should be good for a long time. In the aftermath of the blockbuster trade that sent Juan Soto to the Padres, some rumors about behind-the-scenes details circulated across the industry. His slider and curveball also improved to flashing plus with the added arm speed, and he has maintained his starter command and solid changeup. Casas has held serve due to a sweet swing and an elite hit/approach/power combination that has continued to make him look like an above-average everyday player even while he has long shown little to no speed or defensive value. Now you understand how a softer tossing high school kid that now has grown into league average fastball velocity can strike that many guys out and is expected to do it against big league hitters, too. He also hit nine homers and had a .492 on-base percentage, showing easy plus raw power and huge exit velos -- so some truly wacky stuff. The big wave of Orioles prospects is almost here, with Rodriguez the potential ace of the group. His slider is a 60-to-70-grade pitch depending on the day. Rodriguez signed out of the Dominican Republic for $2.5 million in 2019 and was in the midst of a breakout 2022 season before a June knee surgery ended it. Pfaadt took even another step forward in 2022, dominating Double-A and Triple-A over 167 innings, with scouts raving about his feel and competitiveness while penciling him in as a mid-rotation fit as soon as the middle of 2023. Before the Mariners took Ford with the 12th pick of the 2021 MLB draft, I described him as a powerlifter who is also a yoga instructor. Alex Ramirez, CF, New York Mets He's on the 40-man and will likely make his big league debut at some point in 2023 with an advanced feel for the game that suggests he'll do well in any role. He's a 55 runner, and I don't think he's quite quick enough to be a plus defender at short, but has (no surprise) strong instincts in all phases. 3 overall in the 2020 draft and made his big league debut in 2022, but needed Tommy John surgery. Williams is two months older and went 20 picks earlier in the 2021 draft, but both are medium-framed shortstops with strong power showings in their full season debuts in 2022. He was good enough after returning that he certainly could have made his big league debut at the end of the season like fellow Baltimore prospect Gunnar Henderson did. Type: Advanced hit/power/approach at age 18. Going back to high school, he would sit in the upper 90s and regularly hit 100 mph or higher. One decent argument against (though it still doesn't change my mind) is if they don't think he'll be able to jump to making 32 starts after his light workload in 2022 and just 117 innings pitched in 2021. Lawlar continues keeping pace with Mayer and the difference between them is basically a coin flip for me over a year after their draft. O'Hoppe delivered what many (including myself) thought would be a breakout 2022 season, hitting .275/.392/.496 with 15 homers in 75 games in Double-A for the Phillies before the trade. Velo: 94-98, Fastball: 60/65, Slider: 55/60, Curveball: 50/55, Changeup: 60/70, Command: 50/55, Type: Potential frontline righty with a devastating changeup. Hassell should stick in center field -- though some scouts still question that -- and he hasn't tapped into his average raw power much yet, with most projections that he settles in at a 12- 15-homer range. His slider is a clear third pitch but is average more often than not, so the whole package profiles as a midrotation type. The last catcher the Dodgers took out of Louisville was Will Smith, at the 32nd overall pick. Mayo got an overslot bonus of $1.75 million, equivalent to an early second-round pick, in the fourth round of the 2020 draft. That hasn't happened, as he still has a lanky build and runs well, but is exclusively playing a corner outfield spot. That means strikeouts. His limitation is that he probably will hit just 10 to 15 homers annually, with more gap power than anything else. Kevin Parada, C, New York Mets Realmuto's career. Type: Mid-90s fastball with a plus-plus slider, recovering from Tommy John. Type: Advanced hitter growing into his power. There's all kinds of conditions and exceptions beyond how I simply describe it there, but Craig Kimbrel and A.J. This also helped him profile at his likely future position: third base. There probably isn't a plus tool here, but an average defensive catcher with solid-average offensive numbers is in the top 10-15 of the position and O'Hoppe might be that by the end of 2023. Type: A 6-5 (or possibly taller! Kiley McDaniel covers MLB prospects, the MLB Draft and more, including trades and free agency. Sources can get overwhelmed by all the names when I send them out for thoughts, but when I boiled it down to a list of 20-30 players and told them to pick a few guys they feel strongly about, almost every source named Zavala -- so here he is, despite only 176 plate appearances in U.S.-based professional leagues. 3 or 4 in a rotation looking most likely. Type: Dynamic athlete with an everyday shortstop look. The striking rise in incredibly tall hitters succeeding (Oneil Cruz, Elly De La Cruz, and Spencer Jones all following in Aaron Judge's footsteps) gives Wood a little more credence than scouts would've given him five or so years ago when Judge and Richie Sexson were the comps at that height. Frelick was a late bloomer as a standout multisport athlete in Massachusetts who turned into a middle first-round pick at Boston College. Here's who FOX Sports NFL Draft analyst Rob Rang ranks as the top 20 players Hit: 35/40, Game Power: 45/60, Raw Power: 70/70, Speed: 70/70, Fielding: 40/50, Throwing: 70/70. Flores has a frankly bananas backstory. Abrams went seventh overall in 2019, area scouts told me there were two more underclassman prep prospects in the Atlanta area with that kind of potential: Johnson in the 2022 class, and Cam Collier (55th on this list) in the 2023 class. Expectations have come down a bit as Veen looks more like he might give you 55-grade tools across the board as a right fielder, which is a good-not-great player -- though there's still some chance he could still develop into a middle-of-the-order terror. Meyer was a personal favorite going back to his freshman year at Minnesota. Rodriguez's changeup is his best pitch but he isn't reliant on it, with all four of his offerings potential out-pitches in the right situation. Where all squads stand now that the biggest free agents are off the board following this year's free agency frenzy. His defense is fine, mostly fringy but can be average with some work, and his arm is plus. Each coach submits a Top 25 with a first-place vote worth 25 points, second place 24, and so on down to one point for 25th. There's also a lot of uncertainty with prospects, so it's by default looking at the rosier potential outcomes compared to some current MLB players. 40 overall pick, where the Dodgers were fortunate to scoop him up with a slot bonus. ESPN's baseball experts released their list of top-100 players on Thursday, with 25 of 30 MLB teams represented. That line of thinking would mean that Collier is at risk of being a bat-first corner utility type on the backup/starter borderline. It helps his knockout, plus-plus changeup, which he throws almost as much as his heater, drew a 50% whiff rate last season across High-A, Double-A, and Triple-A. Martinez seems like a familiar kind of prospect. First base isn't the only option -- some scouts thought Soderstrom could play third at draft time, so don't rule out other corner spots. Type: Above-average-to-plus fastball, slider, curveball and command. They come and go a bit, but there's plenty to like here for a pitcher who could get an extended look in the big league rotation for the exciting D-backs. He's now 21 years old and has been steadily moving along that path with no real hiccups since going No. He's now a franchise cornerstone in Baltimore, along with last year's top overall prospect, Adley Rutschman. It's pretty universal now to project Quero as an above-average offensive threat with power, patience and contact skills, but reviews on his defense differ. Type: Rare hit/power upside from a teenager. Holliday was a projected mid-first round pick after a strong summer, but after the first couple spring workouts, immediately jumped into the top 10 and kept climbing. That's only 76 pro games in total, but he was a notable amateur prospect, signing for $1.5 million in 2020, and the tools are obvious. Jones has longer arms that can lead to him being a little awkward at times, so projecting exactly what he'll be physically and offensively has a bit of an error bar. That said, there's also a compelling argument that Carroll offers value in more facets. The Cardinals' offseason signing of Willson Contreras and retaining of Andrew Knizner blocks Herrera's path to immediate big league playing time, especially with the glut of young position players who are in St. Louis or close. If you look back over the past five to 10 years for players who did these things, you get a list that includes Ronald Acuna Jr. and Fernando Tatis Jr. Chourio has the kind of upside where it's just normal to mention him next to those two names. In his draft year at IMG Academy, he was patient, bordering on passive while trying to hit everything to the opposite field and generally did not lean into his strengths. He is now one of the top ten pitching prospects in baseball and may be big league ready by mid-2023. At draft time, Painter offered a 6-7 frame with plus physical ability, starter command projection and four above average-to-plus pitches. He returned with some swing tweaks and performed well in 2022, hitting his way to High-A with 16 homers and 32 stolen bases. Type: Easy plus power, some questions on contact and position. He has a sweet lefty swing and will slide over to right field eventually, but there's a rare set of hitting tools here and he is with a team that has had plenty of fast-tracked young hitters shoot through the system. Alcantara is a superlative athlete with plus raw power, plus speed once he gets going and an above-average arm. The hit tool is still the headliner here as his raw power is only average, but getting a solid catcher who can hit .270 with 15 homers is in the range of Danny Jansen (who posted 2.6 WAR last season in 72 games for the Blue Jays), which is basically the 10th best catcher in baseball. In two minor league seasons, he has answered those offensive questions by hitting .270 with a 10% walk rate and 28 homers in 655 plate appearances. Type: Refrigerator box filled with dynamite. At Louisville, Miller had some relief risk due to his delivery, but he had power stuff and went 29th overall in 2020. The Rays picked him 63rd overall and it has gone very well so far. He's also gifted in the baseball-specific skills of reads in center field and ability to stay compact and turn on an inside fastball. PROSPECT RNK 1st POSITION RNK 1st Pass rusher Will Anderson is the safest pick in the draft and fills an obvious need for the Seahawks along their defensive line. Here's the good: He is an 18-year-old plus-plus runner with explosive bat speed and power. As he dials in his launch angle and offensive approach, there's a shot he hits 30-plus homers. At 6-foot-2, Ramos is shorter than Mayo and that's a big factor in why Ramos is also a solid average defender at third base who can also play a decent second base. It was, to say the least, as Williams threw 115 sterling innings across High-A and Double-A last season while throwing 64% fastballs. He could've posted even better numbers if he threw more breakers, but the developmental focus was fastball command. Normally, teenage pitchers who are tall and/or throw this hard have flat-out bad command that is often a career-long weakness. Following the graduation of Yankees infielder Oswald Peraza, Mets 2022 first-round draft pick Jett Williams became the latest addition to MLB's Top 100 prospect list. He hit .279/.360/.526 with 29 homers, 16 stolen bases, a 10% walk rate and a 21% strikeout rate across High-A, Double-A and Triple-A. He isn't the most nimble individual laterally, so his future at shortstop is a real question, though he could play at second or third base. He and lefty Frank Mozzicato were prep prospects who came out of nowhere ahead of the 2021 draft -- to the point that myself and many national scouts didn't know their names until March or April, when the draft was just a few months away. Montgomery is a shortstop for now and will probably be fine for a while, but any team with an above-average defender at short will slide Montgomery over to third whether he's a 45 or 50 defensively at shortstop. And there are other potential candidates including Jordan Westburg, Joseph Ortiz, Cade Povich, Connor Norby and Coby Mayo -- all of whom are on this top 100 -- along with Kyle Stowers and D.L.

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