301-763-3030 or The seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate bounced up to 10.0%, but remained below the national rate at 11.1%. The 30-year forecasts call for job, income, and sales growth in Arizona to gradually decelerate, reflecting slowing population gains due to the aging of the baby boom generation. August, 2020 Third Quarter 2020 Forecast Update. The series uses the cohort-component method and historical trends in births, deaths, and international migration to project the future size and composition of the national population. A Changing Nation: Population Projections. Eight of the 15 fastest-growing large cities or towns by percent change were in the West with five in Arizona and seven in the South. PHOENIX, AZ The 2020 Census released its final results, showing Maricopa County's drastic 15.8 percent population growth from 2010 to 2020. The average weekly wage in the Phoenix MSA for 2018was $1,038and the average annual wage in the Phoenix MSA was $53,966, putting the MSA in the top 20% of large regions nationally. [Online]. Assessing the Year of Naturalization Data in the ACS. Browse our collection of stories and more. Even so, Arizona continues to far outpace growth at the national level. Phoenix's metro area was. Yuma, Lake Havasu-Kingman, and Flagstaff were hit harder, with jobs down 7.1%, 9.0%, and 17.2%, respectively. An official website of the United States government. Followed by Phoenix, Arizona (13,224), and Fort Worth, Texas (12,916). Need more information about the outlook for Arizona, Phoenix, and Tucson? Browse our collection of stories and more. The UN projects that the global population will increase from a population of around 8 billion in 2022 to 10.4 billion by the end of the century. The MSA continues to show stronger annual growth than the state as well, and is expected to continue this growth rate through at least 2050. The Phoenix MSA collected $4.7billion in sales tax revenue, which is 72% of the total sales tax collected by the state in FY 2019. The population of Arizona in 2020 was 7,179,943, a 1.53% decline from 2019. As Exhibit 1 shows, state job gains rebound strongly from the COVID-19 recession, then decelerate to just over 1.0% per year by 2050. The population of Arizona in 2021 was 7,264,877, a 1.18% increase from 2020. Backlinks from other websites and blogs are the lifeblood of our site and are our primary source of new traffic. The long-run outlook for the state is strong. The population of Arizona in 2019 was 7,291,843, a 1.78% increase from 2018. The projections indicated that the numeric population growth in Arizona throughout the projection period (1997 to 2050) would be higher than in the period prior to the mid-1990s but that the population change would not rise much over the projection period, as seen in Table 3. This paper presents projections of what the population speaking a language other than English might look like in 2020. Income growth is forecast to slow to 2.8% next year, as the fiscal stimulus is replaced by organic income gains. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. The population for each place (including CDPs) A locked padlock The world's . Not all climate forecasts are so dire, but experts say Arizonans need to prepare for. We have provided a few examples below that you can copy and paste to your site: Your data export is now complete. Browse our topics and subtopics to find information and data. More information on the timing of specific population and housing unit estimates products is available at www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/about/schedule.html. The short-term outlook for the state remains uncertain and dependent on the progress of the outbreak and scientific progress in generating effective therapeutics and a vaccine. MAY 26, 2022 Populations of cities and towns in the South and West regions of the United States still experienced the most growth from July 2020 to July 2021, with the top 15 fastest-growing cities or towns located in these regions, according to new population estimates for cities and towns, released by the U.S. Census Bureau today. The main series was released with updates in September 2018 [See Errata Note]. The U.S. unemployment rate hits 8.6% on average in 2020 before falling to 6.3% in 2021 and 5.3% in 2022. A locked padlock This report highlights projected demographic changes of slower growth, considerable aging, and increased racial and ethnic diversity. International Population Estimates and Projections. All previously published estimates (e.g., old vintages) are superseded and archived on theFTP2 site. While Arizona makes progress during the forecast, the rate remains well below the nation, reflecting the states demographic mix. The difference between the highest and the lowest of the scenarios represents the population size issue that Congress and the administration should be focused on as the debate on immigration policy develops this year. It is safe to say, however, that the more prevalent the virus becomes and the longer it takes to develop therapeutics and a vaccine, the larger and more extensive the long-term impact will be. Our projection is for a population of between 445 and 462 million residents depending on the assumptions used. On an annual average basis, state job growth is forecast to hit 4.3% in 2021 (the rebound year) and then gradually decelerate to 1.8% by 2026. During the next 30 years, Arizona population is forecast to rise by 2.81 million, hitting 10.1 million by 2050. Overview and forecasts on trending topics, Industry and market insights and forecasts, Key figures and rankings about companies and products, Consumer and brand insights and preferences in various industries, Detailed information about political and social topics, All key figures about countries and regions, Market forecast and expert KPIs for 600+ segments in 150+ countries, Insights on consumer attitudes and behavior worldwide, Business information on 70m+ public and private companies, Detailed information for 35,000+ online stores and marketplaces. Fastest-Growing Cities Are Still in the West and South, Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP), population estimates for cities and towns, Percentage Change of Housing Units by State Map, release estimates of the July 1, 2021, population, www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/about/schedule.html, www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/technical-documentation/methodology.html. These datasets feature 2017 National Population Projections for the main series and alternative migration scenarios. Show publisher information Chart. U.S. Census Bureau - Population Estimates. U.S. - projected state population by state 2040 Published by Erin Duffin , Sep 30, 2022 This statistic represents projected population of the United States in 2040, broken down by state. The forecast calls for employment to return to its first quarter 2020 level by the second quarter of 2021. Our surveys provide periodic and comprehensive statistics about the nation. The state also adds 1.58 million jobs and $343 billion in real personal income during the forecast period. The state also adds 1.58 million jobs and $343 billion in real personal income during the forecast period. Arizona Sub-County Population Projections, 2019 edition, are the second update to the 2013- . Browse our topics and subtopics to find information and data. This data is critical for government programs, policies, and decision-making. A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States. The Phoenix MSA has had a higher annual growth rate than the nation since 1980. These components, each projected separately, are combined to produce population projections by age, sex, race, and ethnic group. On an annual average basis, state job growth is forecast to hit 4.3% in 2021 (the rebound year) and then gradually decelerate to 1.8% by 2026. The statistics released today cover all local functioning governmental units, including incorporated places (like cities and towns), minor civil divisions (such as townships), and consolidated cities (government units for which the functions of an incorporated place and its parent county have merged). San Antonio, Texas, had the highest numeric gain of 13,626 people between 2020 and 2021. Arizonas per capita personal income gap with the U.S. is expected to decline from -18.4% in 2019 to -13.0% by 2050. University of Virginia (Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service). The 2017 National Population Projections include a main series and three alternative scenarios. Demographics will weigh on growth during the next 30 years, as natural increase shrinks as a source of population gains. These data did not paint such a rosy picture in June. Water resources and other environmental concerns will also have an important influence on growth in coming decades. The annual growth rate of 1.0% from 2020 to 2021 increased slightly from 0.8% in the 2019 to 2020 period. This projections series uses the official estimates of the resident population on July 1, 2016 as the base for projecting the US population from 2017 to 2060. They are typically based on an estimated population consistent with the most recent decennial census and are produced using the cohort-component method. Learn more about how Statista can support your business. The purpose of this document is to present information on how the results of the 2009 National Population Projections vary according to different net international migration assumptions and compare to the 2008 National Population Projections in terms of population size and growth, age structure, and race and Hispanic origin distribution. 0 The pessimistic scenario assumes a somewhat slower, more prolonged recovery. Accessed May 01, 2023. https://www.statista.com/statistics/312714/us-projected-state-population-by-state/. It focuses on 2030 as a demographic turning point for the United States, but explores broader changes in the age, race, and ethnic composition of the population from 2020 to 2060. Chart and table of population level and growth rate for the state of Arizona from 1900 to 2022. Only government spending, excluding transfers, rises (slightly) in 2020. Demographics will weigh on growth during the next 30 years, as natural increase shrinks as a source of population gains. Please check your download folder. Source: Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity. To use individual functions (e.g., mark statistics as favourites, set Some content on this site is available in several different electronic formats. State-level population projections come from the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity's baseline projections (medium series). Keep in mind that the nonfarm payroll employment data reflect the number of jobs on payrolls of establishments during the pay period including the 12th of the month. The July U.S. forecast calls for real GDP to fall 35.5% (annualized rate) in the second quarter. Per Capita Personal Income Compare Western States and U.S. Those towns are not getting worse, they're getting better. of the 50 most populous countries in 2050. Personal Income Compare Western States and U.S. Unemployment Rate, SA Compare Western States and U.S. Register Now for the 2023 Eller Breakfast with the Arizona Personal Income Growth Ended 2022 on a High Maricopa County Leads the Nation in Population Growth. Census Bureau Projects U.S. and World Populations on New Years Day. The annual average 2018non-farm employment for the Phoenix MSA was estimated at 2.1million, which makes up 74% of the states employment. Following San Antonio were Phoenix, Arizona (13,224); Fort Worth, Texas (12,916); Port St. Lucie, Florida (10,771); North Las Vegas, Nevada (9,917); Cape Coral, Florida (8,220); Buckeye, Arizona (8,001); Frisco, Texas (7,933); New Braunfels, Texas (7,538); Georgetown, Texas (7,193); Meridian, Idaho (6,234); Leander, Texas (6,159); Fort Meyers, Florida (5,891); Denton, Texas (5,844); and McKinney, Texas (5,568). The state outlook also depends on the performance of the U.S. and global economies. Download Historical Data Save as Image Overall, Arizona is on pace to recover to pre-pandemic levels of economic activity in 2021, probably well before the nation as a whole. United Nations population projections are also included through the year 2035. That would put the states income gap back to levels last seen in the 2000s. Currently, you are using a shared account. 2017 National Population Projections Datasets. Get full access to all features within our Business Solutions. Consumer spending remains the epicenter of the downturn, with a drop of 5.8% this year, but business fixed investment, residential investment, and net exports decline significantly as well. Arizona Posted Another Solid Month of Job Gains in Arizonas Job Growth Revised Up in 2021 and 2022. Thanks in part to a massive infusion of funds through the CARES Act, Arizona personal income is forecast to rise by 3.1% this year. China and India will still be bigger, but India with 1.5 billion people will now be larger than China, with 1.46. This paper uses data from the 2011 ACS to determine the characteristics associated with naturalized citizens reporting the year they naturalized. In total, the state collected over $6.5billion in sales tax revenue during FY 2019, a 6.7% increase from FY 2018. The Sun Corridor (Maricopa County, Pima County, and Pinal County) collected $5.6billion in sales tax revenue, making up 85% of the state total for FY 2019. Need more information about the outlook for Arizona, Phoenix, and Tucson? The series uses the cohort-component method and historical trends in births, deaths, and international migration to project the future size and composition of the national population. You only have access to basic statistics. While only 4% of all cities and towns had a population of 50,000 or more in 2021, collectively they contained 129.3 million people nearly 39% of the U.S. population, said Crystal Delb, a statistician in the Population Division at the Census Bureau. This report examines historical and projected life expectancy in the United States and explores differences between the native and foreign-born populations. The seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate bounced up to 10.0%, but remained below the national rate at 11.1%. Medium projection; Rank Country Region . Similarly, the state needs to invest in public infrastructure, like highways and roads, water and sewer, telecommunications, airports, and border ports of entry, to ensure that the state is competitive around the U.S. and globally. The states tax and regulatory structure also needs to be competitive so that investment in private physical capital, like office buildings, machinery, and equipment, is not deterred from locating in the state. Secure .gov websites use HTTPS The population of Arizona in 2022 was 7,359,197, a 1.3% increase from 2021. Values have been rounded. At this point, possible long-term impacts are speculative at best. A locked padlock All rights reserved. An official website of the United States government. The household survey, which generates the state unemployment rate estimate, includes agricultural workers and the self-employed, as well as other groups excluded from the establishment survey. Access demographic, economic and population data from the U.S. Census Bureau. This infographic provides an overview of the Phoenix MSA including demographics, employment, and transportation. This data is critical for government programs, policies, and decision-making. More than 80 percent of Arizona's 2020 population increase moved into Greater Phoenix. Business Solutions including all features. Historical and Projected Gains to Life Expectancy, 1960-2060. World population projected to reach 9.8 billion in 2050, and 11.2 billion in 2100 21 June 2017, New York The current world population of 7.6 billion is expected to reach 8.6 billion. Some of the files may require a plug-in or additional software to view. The three alternative scenarios are useful for analyzing potential outcomes of different levels of immigration. The July 2020 forecast from IHS Markit underpins the state projections. During the next 30 years, Arizona population is forecast to rise by 2.81 million, hitting 10.1 million by 2050. Arizona, Texas, Florida and Idaho all had several places among the 15 fastest-growing cities or towns: San Antonio, Texas, topped the list of the largest numeric gainers with an increase of 13,626 people between 2020 and 2021. Overall, that implies that Arizona has replaced 46.4% of the jobs lost from February to April. The long-run outlook for the state is strong. While Arizona makes progress during the forecast, the rate remains well below the nation, reflecting the states demographic mix. February 11, 2019. By George W. Hammond, Ph.D., Director and Research Professor, EBRC. The baseline forecast assumes that the current surge in the spread of the coronavirus is contained quickly and that there is no major resurgence in the fall. An official website of the United States government. Ten years from now, the U.S. population will have almost 350 million people. We have provided a few examples below that you can copy and paste to your site: Your image export is now complete. If you think it's hot now, just wait: Some climate researchers predict Arizona will be unlivable by 2050. Please create an employee account to be able to mark statistics as favorites. During the next 30 years, Arizona population is forecast to rise by 2.81 million, hitting 10.1 million by 2050. Nonfarm employment in the state bounced back during May and June, with over-the-month gains of 62,900 and 73,800, respectively. Six cities crossed the 100,000 population mark in 2021: Bend, Oregon (102,059); Goodyear, Arizona (101,733); Buckeye, Arizona (101,315); Fishers, Indiana (101,171); Carmel, Indiana (100,777); and Tuscaloosa, Alabama (100,618). The top five counties with the largest numeric gains in housing units between July 1, 2020, and July 1, 2021, were Harris County, Texas (34,132); Maricopa County, Arizona (29,935); Travis County, Texas (25,693); Los Angeles County, California (22,925); and Fort Bend County, Texas (14,230). Lock Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. The following Excel files contain aggregate population data for each state and the nation.You can also access our national population projections methodology. Georgetown was followed by Leander, Texas (10.1%); Queen Creek Town, Arizona (8.9%); Buckeye, Arizona (8.6%); and New Braunfels, Texas (8.3%). The World Population Prospects publication provides United Nations population estimates for all countries in the world for each year between 1950 and 2020 and projections under different scenarios (low, medium and high) for each year between 2020 and 2100. . Annual growth slowed during the recession and has picked up in recent years, increasing from 1.1% in 2012 to 1.9% growth in 2019for the Phoenix MSA. These projections are made for July 1 of each year in the projection period. U.S. and World Population Projections for News Years 2019. That would put the states income gap back to levels last seen in the 2000s. Access demographic, economic and population data from the U.S. Census Bureau. ) or https:// means youve safely connected to the .gov website. Official websites use .gov Fiscal policy includes the actions to date, but no new major legislation was assumed in the July forecast. hb```RfV~ !GCqyKg_HuV4CG:%?g`(u;wm qGF@p4u0d Q[[B@[cFP@f@DU@ 9Wj`rjgVj(P2c @. Contact Dr. George Hammond at ghammond@arizona.edu. While it is difficult to foresee the long-run impacts of the pandemic on Arizona while we are in the middle of the crisis, we do know that the factors that drive long-run economic performance in our per capita standard of living will be innovation, physical capital, and public infrastructure. The 2017 population projections series updates the prior series released in 2014, which was the first to incorporate separate assumptions about the fertility of native and foreign-born women living in the United States, since the latter tend to have higher fertility rates. Land ownership statistics for the MAG MPO come from the Arizona State Land Department. The fastest-growing county was Rockwall County, Texas, which increased by 6.5% between July 1, 2020, and July 1, 2021, followed by Chambers County, Texas (5.7%); Jasper County, South Carolina (5.4%); Hays and Comal counties in Texas, and Morgan County, Georgia (5.2%) were tied for. The source calculated the exponential growth rate for each of the 50 states and D.C. using population totals from 2010 and 2017. 877-861-2010 (U.S. and Canada only) This projections series uses the official estimates of the resident population on July 1, 2016 as the base for projecting the US population from 2017 to 2060. Access demographic, economic and population data from the U.S. Census Bureau. This data is critical for government programs, policies, and decision-making. Similarly, the state needs to invest in public infrastructure, like highways and roads, water and sewer, telecommunications, airports, and border ports of entry, to ensure that the state is competitive around the U.S. and globally. The global human population reached 8.0 billion in mid-November 2022 from an estimated 2.5 billion people in 1950, adding 1 billion people since 2010 and 2 billion since 1998. "Projected State Population of The United States in 2040, by State (in Millions). The complete list is available at. Living Longer: Historical and Projected Life Expectancy in the U.S. A lock (
